Sunday, March 24, 2019

Thoughts on the Trump-Russia Investigation

It's rare that I'll comment on something purely political and not economic, but I feel like it's warranted in this situation.

First and foremost, I've never been a believer that Trump actively and knowingly colluded with the Russians, but that doesn't mean I'm still right until we see the full report and his 12 other ongoing investigations are complete.

Note: I made my prediction based off of the 'Foundation of Geopolitics’, a book that details how the Kremlin should operate during the era of globalization and technology and how it should spread its geopolitical influence.

The Trump campaign still looks exceedingly dubious despite Barr's report and it's still worth noting that Barr was nominated in an attempt to serve Trump. Trump had fired Jeff Sessions due to him not being able to defend him because he had recused himself from the investigation. Trump replaced him with someone who was willing to do so. It's also worth noting that Barr has written numerous legal documents about defending the executive branch. Let's also not forget his firing of James Coney which cannot clear him of the obstruction charge.

We know Manafort gave 75 pages of internal polling data to Konstantin Kilimnik that allowed Russian to target voters with accuracy that would have not been legally possible. The special counsel could believe that the data was shared without knowledge that it was Russian intelligence and therefore wasn't collusion. Sharing data privately isn't an issue - it's shared amongst many private entities for the purpose of influencing elections, that's just a liberal democracy at work - but if it was knowingly shared with Russian intelligence that would stir legal action.

As far as we're concerned, the bar for intending to commit criminal conspiracy against the U.S. has not been met, but it's still obvious that the Trump campaign was littered with corruption from top to bottom. It's borderline undeniable that he was aware of the Russian interference and tacitly accepts it even if he didn't personally coordinate it. We also know that he has some shady business dealings with Russia that would have been gross ethics violations for any other person running for office. Had this information been permeating Hillary Clinton pre-2016 election, she would have been demonized even further by the right-wing and progressive blocs of the U.S. political spectrum.

State level investigations(he's probably screwed when he's out of office if he dares ever enter NY), show that virtually every company enterprise associated with him deserves to be shut down.

One of the most interesting cases would appear to be General Flynn who pretty much pleadled guilty to lying and admitted to collusion. Was he lying to get closer with Mueller or was he actually guilty?

The underlying question still remains… how direct is Trump's involvement? We know that Russia did get information through the Trump campaign, but how much did Trump and the people working under him know? Let's not forget the secret meetings with Trump, the Trump tower meeting, the lifting of sanctions and various other shady events.

Before the acceleration of the investigation, I thought it was much more beneficial for Russia to attempt to collude with Trump but knowingly fail. There would be enough material to further divide the American public and decrease America's global influence. It appears that I was right, as per right now, but I didn't expect this amount of evidence to be accumulated. It truly does seem as though there is a missing link that people are still trying to find, but many Russia is just better at their job than I thought they would be.

Note: The reason I made this prediction is because if Russia really did directly collude with Trump and Mueller found out then Trump's indictment could be used as a way to unify the public thus backfiring on the Kremlin's goal.

None of this matters until we see the full report.


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